Chiang Mai Journal of Science

Print ISSN: 0125-2526 | eISSN : 2465-3845

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Modeling Incidence Rates of Terrorism Injuries in Southern Thailand

Sumpunt Khongmark*[a] and Metta Kuning [b]
* Author for corresponding; e-mail address: ksumpunt@bunga.pn.psu.ac.th.
Volume: Vol.40 No.4 (OCTOBER 2013)
Research Article
DOI:
Received: 17 October 2012, Revised: -, Accepted: 10 September 2012, Published: -

Citation: Khongmark S. and Kuning M., Modeling Incidence Rates of Terrorism Injuries in Southern Thailand, Chiang Mai Journal of Science, 2013; 40(4): 743-749.

Abstract

We consider methods for modeling and comparing incidence rates of adverse events that vary over space, time and demographic characteristics of subjects including gender and age group. We assume that the adverse events and their corresponding population-at-risk denominators are aggregated into a contingency table whose dimensions correspond to the spatial, temporal and demographic factors. We compare regression models for Poisson and negative binomial generalized linear models with zero-corrected log-transformed linear models. These methods are applied to the terrorism events in regions of Southern Thailand that occurred over the period from 2004 to 2010.

Keywords: Statistical comparison, bubble charts, confidence intervals, Poisson regression model, negative binomial regression model, log-normal model.

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